Bluebox Food Report

December 1, 2017

M&A Update

November 2017

 

What happened?

Despite the potential downside risks the food industry is exposed to (such as commodity price volatility), M&A in the sector has remained strong, with disclosed deal values surpassing £6.5 billion in the past 12 months. Reckitt Benckiser’s sale of their UK food business, which includes French’s Mustard and Frank’s RedHot to McCormick & Company for £3.2bn, Post Holding’s acquisition of Weetabix for £1.4bn and Pilgrim’s Pride acquisition of Moy Park for £1bn have all contributed significantly to that figure.

The Government is trying to mitigate the increased costs facing food businesses due to the weakening of the sterling following the EU referendum. Earlier this year, they released ‘Food and drink exporting – Five steps to success’ in an effort to encourage UK firms to export their products and turn the currency swing in their favour. Whilst UK food exports totalled £20bn in 2016, only 20% of UK manufacturers currently export their goods. The FDA has set the target of growing the export of UK branded goods by one third by 2020, which represents a significant opportunity for UK businesses, and is likely to attract further M&A interest.

 

Who’s buying?

The majority of deals (c.88%) were made up of trade players looking to further develop and expand already existing product infrastructure or to strengthen their position in the UK. Private equity, both UK-based and abroad, made up the balance. The UK food sector has maintained its attractiveness to foreign buyers, with 54% (52% in 2016) of acquirers based abroad which has also been due to the weak sterling. This further breaks down as would be expected with 35% of acquirers from other European firms, 15% from North American and the outstanding 4% from those based in Asia.

Sustainability

Larger operators are increasingly realising the value of making movements into the ‘sustainable food’ space. This has been evidenced by a wave of recent acquisitions including Unilever acquiring Pukka Herbs, an organic herbal tea company, Nestle acquiring Sweet Earth, a sustainable meat producer, and Danone’s acquisition of White Wave Foods, a plant-based foods producer. Making acquisitions such as these not only allows the buyer to capture the higher growth in the nascent industry but also helps to reframe them as environmentally friendly and health-focused corporations that are having a positive and social impact on the world.

Buyers may be unlikely to acquire a sustainable business simply because it is sustainable, but its weight as an investment criteria is rising. Investors are ever more appreciative of the idea that a company with a sustainable business model is significantly more likely to be around for many more years to come and should hold a stronger competitive position than those not adopting sustainable practices.

 

Brexit/EU

It is hard to mention the UK food industry without at least a brief reference to the potential impact of leaving the European Union. The immediate issue is the very high relative proportion of EU workers in the sector in the UK; there has already been a 20% shortfall in available staff this summer and survey from the Food and Drink Federation found that 36% of businesses felt that they would be unable to adapt if they did not have access to the EU labour market following Brexit.

Whilst the potential labour shortage is a significant issue, we can equally reframe the situation differently from an M&A perspective. The referendum has further pushed the zeitgeist towards ‘buying British’ and supporting local industry, coupled with the change in exchange rates, British consumers will be increasingly ignoring foreign products for British ones. Whatever form the deal with the EU ultimately takes, the British market will remain incredibly large and international companies will want to be active within it. If their current brands are being turned down in favour of British competitors, acquiring these companies may become their preferred route of entry into the market.

 

Certifications

Consumers are becoming increasingly more aware of the food they eat. Multiple forces are working here; in recent years trust has been eroded due to recalls such as the horse meat scandal and consumers have become increasingly health conscious. Both factors have increased the importance of food manufacturers receiving certifications to ensure that consumers can trust the products they are buying. Following the horse meat scandal, the BRC Global Standards certification reviewed their accreditation process and pushed to increase the sharing of criminal intelligence across Europe and more globally to places like the USA and India. Whilst the added health benefits of organic food are questionable according to many studies, companies that can receive an organic certification from groups such as the Soil Association, are very likely to be able to charge a higher price for their products.

Both forces highlight the increased importance of operators in the industry being able to demonstrate their credentials and the likely increase in importance acquirers will be attributing to them.

 

 

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